Newsletter December 2009







 
 

December 2009 Update
Welcome

I’d like to welcome you to the monthly update from ProVenture, especially if this is your first issue.  We hope you find this short newsletter of interest and that it keeps you up-to-date with the property investment scene in Germany.

 

Please click on the following titles to read the content or scroll down to read the whole newsletter

  

 

 
  
 
FX Update

 

 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  


 
German Economic Outlook
 
German business confidence has surged unexpectedly this month to the highest since August last year as the rebound in Europe’s largest economy continues to strengthen.  The sharp rise in the Munich-based Ifo’s business climate index, from 92.0 in October to 93.9 in November, strengthened expectations of robust German Growth in the final months of the year.   

The latest rise in the Ifo index, regarded as a good indicator of future trends in activity, showed Germany was “continuing to work itself out of the crisis”, said Hans-Werner Sinn, Ifo’s president.

From a record low of 82.2 in March, the Ifo index has now risen for eight consecutive months. The improvement has been driven by German companies’ optimism about prospects for the next six months, which in November was the brightest since January last year.

 

Germany’s statistical office revised up the country’s second-quarter growth rate from 0.3 per cent to 0.4 per cent. The 0.7 per cent rise in the third quarter was the strongest since early 2008.

Commenting on the latest figures, Germany’s statistical office said growth had been boosted by construction and investment in machinery and equipment.

 

 

 


 
 
Finance Update     
 
 

We have not seen a huge amount of movement within GBPEUR in November. The tight range has been up to a high of 1.1317 (17th) and down to a low of 1.0940 (30th) finishing the month on a downward trend but this is still up from last months low of 1.0622. The year looks set to end in the range of 1.09 to 1.11, a slightly
downgraded view given the recent spell of Sterling weakness.

The Bank of England had a three way split amongst members as to the next move in relation to quantitative easing. It seems that there is little chance of any increase in interest rates for some while as they also talked about the option of cutting the rate of return on commercial bank reserves-another indication that rates are unlikely to rise and make the pound attractive to investors

UK remains one of the last industrialised nations with a contracting GDP and while forward looking indicators suggest a rebound in Q4, traders may be more cautious in their assessment given November's figures.

In the world markets; deepening fears about Dubai's debt problems shook the European stock markets last week, with the FTSE suffering its worst one-day loss since March and we saw most investors run to the US Dollar
at first but again the Dollar has fallen out of favour in the remaining
few days of November.

If you wish to contact Mark to discuss any foreign exchange trades – please call him on

+44 207 337 1247

 

 


 

 
ProVenture Activity   
 
This month saw the Proventure team conducting trips to Leipzig, Halle, Berlin and also Bremerhaven (a new destination being researched). Activity continues to be strong in the markets we operate in and interest is increasing from European clients looking for single apartments in Berlin, due perhaps to the exposure resulting from the 20 years post the fall of the Berlin Wall in the media. 2 inspection trips are now planned per week up until April 2010 so please get in touch if you would like to make a viewing.
 


Focus on Berlin

 

 

This month, we provide a focus on the capital Berlin.  We talk to one of the active agents in the city, Fabian Henning, to get his thoughts on the investment potential of the city.
 
How long have you been dealing with Berlin property?

Before I have started in the Real Estate business I was active in the financial industry as an independent broker for investment and saving products. In 2006 I became the Financial Officer in a global acting Real Estate Company where I have structured the Financial network and the sales process in general until the beginning of 2009. After this station I have worked at an affiliated company of the Colonia Real Estate AG which is listed at the German Stock-Exchange and one of the biggest Real Estate companies in Germany. The value of the managed properties exceeds the 2 Billion EUR barrier.


What type of person buys in Berlin?


This is very difficult to answer. There are two different types of clients. The person who is searching for a vacant apartment has simply fallen in love with Berlin and would like to live in this city. The typical person who wants to invest in tenanted apartments is searching for an attractive mix between chances and security. The typical client has collected a lot of general information about Berlin and has clear ideas about the location he want to invest in.


What is the typical kind of property people buy?


Investors are looking for properties which are bound into a well organized owner community without a bigger reparation tailback. Furthermore they are looking for apartments with 40 – 60 m² living space which will have a quite good demand in the future. Last but not least they request net yields from 5% upwards.


Whicj areas are good to invest in?


This depends on what the main target of each investor is. If you are searching for high yields you would have to invest in areas like Wedding, Steglitz, Weißensee and parts of Zehlendorf, Spandau and Köpenik. If the capital appreciation is more important I would recommend areas like attractive parts of Charlottenburg, Wilmersdorf, Kreuzberg, parts of Pankow and the north located area of Neukölln as this area is close to the Mitte district. Prenzlauer Berg and Friedrichshain can surprise with some last bargains but most parts of these districts and Mitte were already sold during the last years and the purchase prices already increased significant.


Which areas are "up and coming" in your opinion?


If we take a detailed look in the more recent past we can notice that Mitte really became the new heart of a new Berlin and all the surrounding districts are in the direct focus of investors world-wide. With this information in the mind it is pretty clear that the southern parts of Wedding and Pankow could offer a surpassing capital appreciation. The same applies to the northern parts of Neukölln, Kreuzberg and Schöneberg. Charlottenburg, Wilmersdorf and Zehlendorf are offering an attractive mix of “already up and gently coming”.


What are the reasons to invest in Berlin, over other German cities?


The first and main reason is the potential of Berlin. We have the lowest average rent in Berlin but the most interesting city for the future. BBI our new international airport will be finished in 2012, the art scene is becoming bigger and bigger. The political heart already beats in Berlin and a lot headquarters of international companies already opened their doors. This city is booming and the rents will increase slowly but stable. In 2008 the average rent raised up about 2.8%. Landlords increased the rents especially for new agreements. They claimed 14% more rent than the average tenant in comparable areas is paying at the moment. Furthermore Berlin is a tenant city with less than 15% owners. This single fact assures very attractive investment opportunities in Berlin as the purchase prices went down a little bit because of the global financial and economic crisis but are also to be looking up.


Is finance available at
the moment?


Yes , financing with an LTV of around 60% for foreign clients is available. We are cooperating with major German financial institutes which provide further security and funds for an investment in Berlin.



 

 
To research the city further, below are some links:
 
 

 
Free Book!!
 
We have a limited number of copies from the first print run of our book “Your Life in Property” available for our newsletter subscribers and can will mail out to you for free, if you are quick. The e-version of the book is at:

 

Please let us know by email your name and postal address should you wish to claim a copy:

enquiry@proventureproperty.com

 





 

 
 
 
Latest Property Offers
 

 

Below are links to some of the new property brought to the market during October. More property in Leipzig, Halle and Berlin will be brought to the market during November so please monitor the website.

 

 
Happy investing and good luck,
 
Mat
 
 
 


 
 
 
Leipzig South East
 
300.000 Euro
 
13 units
 
 
 
 
2 units to rent
 
Yield when full – 11%
 
NEW TO MARKET -CALL FOR DETAIL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 Leipzig Centre (South)
 
1.2 Million Euro
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fully Rented and best location
 
8% yield
 
PLEASE CONTACT
FOR FURTHER
DETAILS

 

 

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